'Homicidal crime
across space and time. Why are some societies so much more murderous than
others?
Homicide rates vary massively
across time and between places, but attempts to explain these variations have
revealed a number of paradoxes and contradictions. For example, in Europe in
the Middle Ages murder prosecution rates were twenty times greater than they
are now. The long-term decline in recorded homicides which was a major feature
of the period from the fourteenth to the late nineteenth centuries has
encouraged some historians to argue that the modernisation and the urbanisation
process that occurred across Europe in this period was been the key factor
behind this drastic reduction in levels of inter-personal violence. However,
the geography of homicide does not necessarily back up this argument. In the
second half of the twentieth century, for example, urban areas have been
associated with very much higher murder rates. Drawing initially on Professor
King’s recent primary research on nineteenth-century homicide rates in the two
most rapidly industrialising and urbanising areas in Europe – England and
Scotland – which has shown that homicide rates were 6 times higher in rapidly
urbanising areas such as Glasgow than in peripheral rural ones such as the
Highlands, the lecture will indicate how problematic this simplistic connection
between modernisation and declining violence has turned out to be. It will then
use data from across Europe, from twentieth century America and comparative
world homicide rates available for the early twenty-first century as the basis
for developing a model of the key factors that create high homicide rates in
any specific place or time. By exploring the impact on homicide rates of
factors such as the oppression of racial and national minorities, the survival
of vendetta, the level and nature of state intervention, or the disruptions
that result from large-scale in-migration into rapidly growing cities or
industrialising areas, the lecture will attempt to develop a more sophisticated
historically grounded understanding of the roots of high homicide rates in
different societies.
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